Early July 2016, ITRS (International Technology Roadmap for Semiconductors) released was probably the last a report about the semiconductor Technology, the semiconductor industry after more than 50 years of glorious, step by step toward the end, the size of the transistor (Physical Gate Length) will be in five years at 10 nm end [1], we continue to explore the transistor can reach 5 nm in theory more pale, chip used in mass production, 5 nm South American butterfly wings negligible fan fell a few times, enough to walk on the tip of 5 nm Technology, down visibly, abandon of Moore's law has officially ended, but remain in the world,
Worldwide, the semiconductor materials science, technology, ability also is willing to continue to vendors only Intel, Samsung and TSMC and Global Foundries, or in the near future in the near future, perhaps a great transformation in order to complete the factory of the world, China will take over the banner of semiconductor manufacturing, to make it cheaper, make them more lack of necessary because profits to support the sustainable development of the whole industry chain, to maintain in the end, the industry also pessimistic I continue to maintain in the judgment of the three years ago, based on the silicon semiconductor industry, are no longer important,
Origin in the 1940 s of the von neumann system according to the man is waiting for the final straw, designers can no longer has the processor in the direction of the concept to determine your own design itself, when the processor designer don't know what to do right, to focus on the Cache memory and I/O channel, based on the traditional processor of the von neumann system has come to an end, in fact, mastered the user scenarios and application vendors currently heads is really processor design, customization era is no longer the anticipation [4] before 4 years, but has come,
Stagnant, semiconductor and traditional the processor will not end for human dependence on silicon, in the short term, there is no any material to replace silicon, application demand for silicon remains clear, in a minute, Youtube will receive at least 100 hours of video document [5]; 4 billion times a day on Facebook, video playback click [6], these applications demand will, through the network to the server, and access to or write data from memory, in computing, network and storage the infrastructure, silicon is still dominant,
Magical semiconductor silicon changed the course of human history, has almost come to an end, for nearly half a century, the silicon has been substitutes, such as gallium arsenide gallium nitride and GaAs GaN, these significant applications in the field of high power and high frequency has cannot replace silicon semiconductor, CNT based on MoS2 MoS2 and carbon nanotubes (carbon nanotube) transistors can be Gate Length do 1 nm [7], but its products are still at the laboratory stage, use IT instead of silicon still stays in the thesis of the paper, silicon industry ceiling has restricted the entire IT industry forward, under this big background, a lot of people regain the artificial intelligence algorithms, and evolve gradually into a deep learning, and as a new breakthrough,
But out of the progress of materials science, the breakthrough to really set up? Humans today from the sixties and seventies of the last century at the algorithm level what can improve it?